Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Granada had a probability of 24.77%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (8.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.