Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Granada had a probability of 16.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Granada win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.