Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 18.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.94%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Eibar win it was 1-0 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Eibar | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
18.15% | 25.33% | 56.52% |
Both teams to score 42.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.22% | 58.78% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.7% | 79.3% |
Eibar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.4% | 46.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.81% | 82.19% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.15% | 20.85% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.46% | 53.54% |
Score Analysis |
Eibar | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.42% 2-1 @ 4.44% 2-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.33% Total : 18.15% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 0-0 @ 9.72% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 15.23% 0-2 @ 11.94% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-3 @ 6.24% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-4 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.09% Total : 56.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
13 | GironaGirona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |