La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Mar 19, 2022 at 1pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
2 - 3
Granada

Escalante (53'), Vallejo (57')
N'Diaye (4'), Tenaglia (41'), de la Fuente (89'), Escalante (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Escudero (50'), Puertas (75'), Suarez Charris (87')
Quini (27'), Uzuni (45+3'), Petrovic (61'), Sanchez (90'), Diaz (90+8'), Escudero (90+8')
Escandell (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

Last Six:

Last Game: Alaves 0-1 Cadiz
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Granada	38	-17	38
19	Levante	38	-25	35
20	Alaves	38	-34	31

Granada

Last Six:

Last Game: Granada 0-0 Espanyol
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
17	Mallorca	38	-27	39
18	Granada	38	-17	38
19	Levante	38	-25	35

For obvious reasons, this is a really difficult match to predict, and it is even tougher to back either side to win with any degree of confidence. Both teams will believe that they can hurt the other in the final third, but we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which will not suit either manager at this stage of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Granada
37.04%	28.93%	34.03%

Both teams to score 45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.36%

61.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.53%

81.47%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.08%

31.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.62%

68.38%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.1%

33.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.43%

70.57%

Score Analysis

Alaves 37.03%

Granada 34.03%

Draw 28.92%

Alaves	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 12.35% 2-1 @ 7.63% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.92%	0-1 @ 11.7% 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 6.33% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.38% Total : 34.03%