La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 5, 2022 at 1pm UK

Martinez Valero

Elche
3 - 1
Alaves

Milla (46', 58'), Fidel (86')
Gonzalo (67')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Joselu (18')
Pina (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

This is a really big match for both sides, and it should be a tight affair, with the two managers knowing the importance of avoiding defeat. Elche will enter the contest in the better form, but Alaves are certainly capable of securing a share of the spoils on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.85%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Alaves
36.85%	28.72%	34.43%

Both teams to score 45.63%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.12%

60.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.09%

80.9%

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34%

31.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93%

68.07%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.76%

33.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.16%

69.84%

Score Analysis

Elche 36.85%

Alaves 34.42%

Draw 28.71%

Elche	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 6.96% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.67% 3-2 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.9% Total : 36.85%	1-1 @ 13.33% 0-0 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.71%	0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 7.34% 0-2 @ 6.38% 1-3 @ 2.7% 0-3 @ 2.34% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.52% Total : 34.42%