Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.08%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
15.84% | 22.3% | 61.85% |
Both teams to score 46.18% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% | 51.12% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% | 72.97% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55% | 45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.06% | 80.93% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.96% | 16.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.61% | 45.39% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 5.76% 2-1 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 2.3% 3-1 @ 1.12% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.84% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 13.2% 0-2 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-4 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.92% Total : 61.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |