Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.55%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.