La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 23, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Alaves1 - 4Real Madrid
The Match
Match Report
Casemiro and Eden Hazard were also on target.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Alaves.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash with Alaves.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.69%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (14.09%) and 0-3 (12.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.85%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 6.18% | 15.13% | 78.69% |
| Both teams to score 34.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.97% | 47.02% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.73% | 69.27% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.49% | 61.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 8.6% | 91.4% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.08% | 9.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.16% | 32.84% |
| Score Analysis |
Alaves 6.18%
Real Madrid 78.66%
Draw 15.13%
| Alaves | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 2.97% 2-1 @ 1.67% Other @ 1.55% Total : 6.18% | 1-1 @ 6.85% 0-0 @ 6.1% 2-2 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.13% | 0-2 @ 16.28% 0-1 @ 14.09% 0-3 @ 12.54% 1-2 @ 7.92% 0-4 @ 7.25% 1-3 @ 6.1% 1-4 @ 3.52% 0-5 @ 3.35% 1-5 @ 1.63% 2-3 @ 1.48% 0-6 @ 1.29% Other @ 3.21% Total : 78.66% |
How you voted: Alaves vs Real Madrid
Alaves
18.0%Draw
16.4%Real Madrid
65.6%128
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2020 9pm
Gameweek 35
Real Madrid
2-0
Alaves
Nov 30, 2019 12pm
Gameweek 15
Alaves
1-2
Real Madrid
Feb 3, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Real Madrid
3-0
Alaves
Oct 6, 2018 5.30pm
Gameweek 8
Alaves
1-0
Real Madrid
Form Guide
Build-up
How Real Madrid could line up against Alaves
Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with Alaves.
4 years ago
Real Madrid team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Alaves
Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash with Alaves.
4 years ago
