La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 5, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
1 - 0
Real Valladolid

Joselu (66')
Pina (10'), Navarro (40'), Garcia (63'), Mendez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruno (43'), Fernandez (48'), Fede (82'), Alcaraz (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 51.98%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Real Valladolid
20.91%	27.11%	51.98%

Both teams to score 41.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.28%

61.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.47%

81.53%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.82%

45.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.92%

81.07%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.97%

24.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.71%

58.29%

Score Analysis

Alaves 20.91%

Real Valladolid 51.97%

Draw 27.1%

Alaves	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 4.89% 2-0 @ 3.43% 3-1 @ 1.29% 3-2 @ 0.92% 3-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.91%	1-1 @ 12.29% 0-0 @ 10.85% 2-2 @ 3.48% Other @ 0.47% Total : 27.1%	0-1 @ 15.47% 0-2 @ 11.03% 1-2 @ 8.77% 0-3 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-3 @ 1.66% 1-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.28% Total : 51.97%