Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.32%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.