Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.