Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
23.61% | 28.11% | 48.28% |
Both teams to score 42.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.23% | 62.77% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.7% | 82.3% |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.98% | 43.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.7% | 79.3% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% | 26.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% | 61.35% |
Score Analysis |
Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.52% 2-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 4.02% 3-1 @ 1.51% 3-0 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.04% Total : 23.61% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 3.59% Other @ 0.48% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 15.1% 0-2 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.52% 0-3 @ 4.5% 1-3 @ 3.8% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-4 @ 1.51% 1-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.88% Total : 48.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 21 |
2 | Real Madrid | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 17 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 15 |
4 | Mallorca | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Villarreal | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 14 |
6 | Osasuna | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 10 |
9 | AlavesAlaves | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 9 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
12 | Real Sociedad | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 8 |
13 | GironaGirona | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 8 |
14 | Sevilla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 |
15 | Getafe | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
16 | Espanyol | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
17 | Leganes | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
18 | Valencia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 5 |
20 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 3 |
> La Liga Full Table |