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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 30, 2020 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Real Valladolid logo

Real Madrid
1 - 0
Real Valladolid

Junior (65')
Casemiro (78'), Marcelo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bruno (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Real Valladolid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up against Real Valladolid for their first La Liga home game of the campaign.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash with Real Valladolid.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 8.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.3%) and 3-0 (11.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawReal Valladolid
74.98%16.77%8.26%
Both teams to score 39.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.53%46.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.25%68.76%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.26%10.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.31%34.7%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.48%55.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.81%88.19%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 74.97%
    Real Valladolid 8.26%
    Draw 16.77%
Real MadridDrawReal Valladolid
2-0 @ 14.84%
1-0 @ 13.3%
3-0 @ 11.04%
2-1 @ 8.73%
3-1 @ 6.5%
4-0 @ 6.16%
4-1 @ 3.63%
5-0 @ 2.75%
3-2 @ 1.91%
5-1 @ 1.62%
4-2 @ 1.07%
6-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 74.97%
1-1 @ 7.83%
0-0 @ 5.96%
2-2 @ 2.57%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 16.77%
0-1 @ 3.51%
1-2 @ 2.3%
0-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 8.26%

Head to Head
Jan 26, 2020 8pm
Aug 24, 2019 6pm
Mar 10, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 3, 2018 3.15pm
May 7, 2014 8pm
Valladolid
1-1
Real Madrid
Baraja (85')
Bergdich (26'), Mitrovic (89'), Jimenez (90'), Baraja (90')
Ramos (35')
Isco (27'), Morata (61'), Illarramendi (76'), Pepe (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona77002351821
2Real Madrid75201651117
3Atletico MadridAtletico7430113815
4Mallorca842286214
5Villarreal74211414014
6Athletic Bilbao7412117413
7Osasuna7322811-311
8AlavesAlaves73131110110
9Rayo Vallecano72328719
10Celta Vigo7304141409
11Real BetisBetis72327709
12GironaGirona7223810-28
13Sevilla722379-28
14Espanyol7214711-47
15Leganes713348-46
16Real Sociedad712437-45
17Valencia7124510-55
18Real ValladolidValladolid8125417-135
19Getafe704336-34
20Las PalmasLas Palmas7034813-53


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