Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 49.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.