La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Jun 20, 2020 at 9pm UK

Wanda Metropolitano

Atletico
1 - 0
Real Valladolid

Vitolo (81')
Partey (56'), Hermoso (59'), Carrasco (69'), Costa (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rubio (64'), Michel (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
61.72%	23.88%	14.4%

Both teams to score 39.01%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.91%

59.09%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.46%

79.54%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04%

18.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51%

50.49%

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.14%

51.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.09%

85.91%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 61.71%

Real Valladolid 14.4%

Draw 23.87%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 16.35% 2-0 @ 13.59% 2-1 @ 8.93% 3-0 @ 7.53% 3-1 @ 4.95% 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.06% 3-2 @ 1.62% 5-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.51% Total : 61.71%	1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 9.83% 2-2 @ 2.93% Other @ 0.38% Total : 23.87%	0-1 @ 6.46% 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-2 @ 2.12% Other @ 2.3% Total : 14.4%