Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.59%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.