Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
Monaco2 - 1Real Sociedad
We said: Monaco 1-1 Real Sociedad
With Graz still to come on matchday six, Kovac may not risk a defeat in search of all three points. With Sociedad potentially adopting the same mindset, do not be surprised to see this contest end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monaco | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 36.83% | 26.51% | 36.66% |
| Both teams to score 52.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
