Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
49.51% | 27.17% | 23.33% |
Both teams to score 44.11% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.05% | 59.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.8% | 80.2% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% | 24.39% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.2% | 58.8% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.34% | 41.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.86% | 78.14% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |