Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.04%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
35.03% | 27.5% | 37.47% |
Both teams to score 49.29% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.62% | 56.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.6% | 77.39% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% | 30.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% | 66.76% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.96% | 29.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.05% | 64.94% |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.51% 2-1 @ 7.71% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.05% 3-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.03% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 8.87% 2-2 @ 4.77% Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 10.96% 1-2 @ 8.04% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 3.32% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |