Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.36%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
62.41% | 23.18% | 14.4% |
Both teams to score 40.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.25% | 56.75% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.3% | 77.7% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.17% | 17.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.42% | 48.58% |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.56% | 50.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.04% | 84.96% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 15.5% 2-0 @ 13.36% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 7.68% 3-1 @ 5.26% 4-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 2.27% 3-2 @ 1.8% 5-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.92% Total : 62.4% | 1-1 @ 10.61% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 3.13% Other @ 0.44% Total : 23.18% | 0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 3.63% 0-2 @ 2.11% Other @ 2.51% Total : 14.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 42 | 14 | 28 | 34 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 29 |
3 | Real Madrid | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
4 | Villarreal | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 24 |
5 | GironaGirona | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 21 |
6 | Mallorca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Osasuna | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 21 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 20 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 18 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 16 |
13 | Sevilla | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 15 |
14 | Leganes | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 14 |
15 | Getafe | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 13 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 13 |
17 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 12 |
18 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Espanyol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 26 | -14 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |