Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Merkur Arena
Sturm Graz0 - 1Real Sociedad
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 40% | 24.23% | 35.77% |
| Both teams to score 60.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.85% | 42.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.45% | 64.55% |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% | 21.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.95% | 54.06% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% | 23.33% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.72% | 57.28% |
| Score Analysis |
Sturm Graz 40%
Real Sociedad 35.77%
Draw 24.23%
| Sturm Graz | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% 1-0 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.7% Total : 40% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23% | 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.77% |
How you voted: Sturm Graz vs Real Sociedad
Sturm Graz
12.2%Draw
9.3%Real Sociedad
78.5%172
Form Guide
