Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 50.58%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 28.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.2%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	NS Mura
50.58%	21.35%	28.06%

Both teams to score 67.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.52%

31.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.04%

52.96%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.06%

12.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.6%

39.4%

NS Mura Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.41%

22.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.81%

56.19%

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 50.58%

NS Mura 28.06%

Draw 21.35%

Sturm Graz	Draw	NS Mura
2-1 @ 9.09% 3-1 @ 6.2% 2-0 @ 6.11% 1-0 @ 5.98% 3-2 @ 4.61% 3-0 @ 4.17% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-2 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-3 @ 1.17% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.58%	1-1 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 6.76% 0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 2.29% Other @ 0.49% Total : 21.35%	1-2 @ 6.61% 0-1 @ 4.35% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-2 @ 3.23% 0-3 @ 1.6% 2-4 @ 1.25% 1-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.06%