La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 16, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
4 - 2
Granada

Pons (8'), Duarte (21'), Joselu (66'), Rioja (72')
Guidetti (90+3'), Garcia (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Molina (31'), Puertas (63')
Perez (20'), Brice Eteki (30'), Duarte (45'), Quini (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Granada had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.68%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Granada
36.46%	28.5%	35.05%

Both teams to score 46.31%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93%

60.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71%

80.29%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.51%

31.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.12%

67.88%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.6%

32.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.08%

68.92%

Score Analysis

Alaves 36.46%

Granada 35.05%

Draw 28.49%

Alaves	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 7.68% 2-0 @ 6.81% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.46%	1-1 @ 13.28% 0-0 @ 10.2% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.49%	0-1 @ 11.5% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 6.48% 1-3 @ 2.81% 0-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.05%