La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 31

Apr 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
2 - 1
Villarreal

Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
14.41%	21.77%	63.81%

Both teams to score 44.51%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.41%

51.59%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62%

73.38%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.7%

47.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.29%

82.71%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45%

15.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.52%

44.48%

Score Analysis

Alaves 14.41%

Villarreal 63.8%

Draw 21.77%

Alaves	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 5.51% 2-1 @ 3.84% 2-0 @ 2.06% 3-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.05% Total : 14.41%	1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 7.35% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.77%	0-1 @ 13.68% 0-2 @ 12.73% 1-2 @ 9.54% 0-3 @ 7.9% 1-3 @ 5.92% 0-4 @ 3.68% 1-4 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-5 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.03% 1-5 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.96% Total : 63.8%