Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 44.12%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 27.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 2-1 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 0-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
44.12% | 28.84% | 27.04% |
Both teams to score 42.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.84% | 63.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.42% | 82.59% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.43% | 28.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.64% | 64.36% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.9% | 40.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.26% | 76.74% |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 14.35% 2-0 @ 8.99% 2-1 @ 8.22% 3-0 @ 3.75% 3-1 @ 3.43% 3-2 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.18% 4-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.56% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.83% | 0-1 @ 10.46% 1-2 @ 5.99% 0-2 @ 4.78% 1-3 @ 1.83% 0-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.37% Total : 27.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |