

Villarreal0 - 2Atletico
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
26.04% | 25.51% | 48.45% |
Both teams to score 51.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.05% | 51.95% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.31% | 73.69% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.24% | 34.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.5% | 71.5% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.55% | 21.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.53% | 54.47% |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 7.88% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 2.26% 3-2 @ 1.74% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.13% Total : 26.04% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 4.93% Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 11.48% 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 2.53% 1-4 @ 1.84% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.45% |