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Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Osauna logo

Almeria
0 - 1
Osasuna

FT(HT: 0-1)
Avila (28')
Garcia (5'), Gomez (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Almeria 1-1 Osasuna

Almeria have already beaten Sevilla at home this season, while they only narrowly lost to Real Madrid, so this has the potential to be a tough match for Osasuna. The visitors have made a strong start to the season, but we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.55%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
49.62% (1.683 1.68) 25.83% (-0.353 -0.35) 24.55% (-1.33 -1.33)
Both teams to score 48.94% (-0.168 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.71% (0.374 0.37)54.28% (-0.374 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.32% (0.312 0.31)75.68% (-0.312 -0.31)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (0.908 0.91)21.91% (-0.908 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (1.359 1.36)55.17% (-1.358 -1.36)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.67% (-0.954 -0.95)37.32% (0.955 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.954 -0.95)74.11% (0.955 0.95)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 49.61%
    Osasuna 24.55%
    Draw 25.82%
AlmeriaDrawOsasuna
1-0 @ 12.41% (0.15 0.15)
2-0 @ 9.43% (0.365 0.37)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.307 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.7% (0.187 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.32% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.162 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.78% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.61%
1-1 @ 12.23% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 8.18% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.58% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.06% (-0.333 -0.33)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.243 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.97% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.134 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 24.55%

How you voted: Almeria vs Osasuna

Almeria
29.8%
Draw
23.9%
Osasuna
46.3%
188
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-0
Osasuna
Almeria win 5-4 on penalties

Fernandes (116')

Garcia (68'), Vidal (72'), Sanjurjo (119')
Jan 26, 2019 3pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Saveljich (24'), Aguza (64'), de la Hoz (78'), Rioja (90')
Brandon (75')
Hernandez (34'), Brandon (88')
Sep 8, 2018 3pm
Osasuna
3-1
Almeria
Villar (14'), Castro (64' pen.), Barja (70')
Hernandez (38')
Gimenez (16')
Trujillo (60')
Feb 10, 2018 7pm
Almeria
0-1
Osasuna

Marreh (45'), Fernandez (75')
Rodriguez (50')
Lasso (54'), Merida (86'), Torres (86')
Sep 16, 2017 7pm
Osasuna
2-1
Almeria
Quique (70'), Coris (77')
Torro (54'), Sanjurjo (71'), Xisco (74')
Fidel (22')
Mandi (14'), Morcillo (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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