La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 22, 2022 at 7pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
1 - 1
Almeria

Collado (30')
Gumbau (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sadiq (23')
Eguaras (54'), Akieme (55'), Baptistao (86'), Fernandes (86')
(0')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Elche and Almeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Betis 3-0 Elche
Monday, August 15 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Cadiz	2	-3	0
19	Elche	1	-3	0
20	Getafe	1	-3	0

Almeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Almeria 1-2 Real Madrid
Sunday, August 14 at 9pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Real Valladolid	2	-3	1
16	Almeria	1	-1	0
17	Girona	1	-1	0

Almeria were certainly the more impressive of the two sides on the opening day, but Elche will be keen not to suffer a second straight defeat, particularly at home to a newly-promoted side, and we see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for Elche had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Almeria
29.89% ( -0.68)	26.19% ( -0.18)	43.92% ( 0.86)

Both teams to score 51.8% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

0.43)

52.48% (

-0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

0.37)

74.15% (

-0.36)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

-0.27)

32.05% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

-0.31)

68.52% (

0.31)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

0.62)

23.76% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.09% (

0.88)

57.91% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Elche 29.89%

Almeria 43.91%

Draw 26.18%

Elche	Draw	Almeria
1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.73% Total : 29.89%	1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.18%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.78% Total : 43.91%