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La Liga
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La Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
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Osasuna
2 - 1
Sevilla

Avila (9'), Oroz (74' pen.)
Garcia (34'), Garcia (50'), Avila (68'), Herrera (90+2'), Gomez (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mir (11')
Papu (72'), Rakitic (82'), Fernando (83'), Lopetegui (87'), Romero (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Osasuna

Last Six:
    Last Game: Feyenoord 1-2 Osasuna
    Sunday, July 31 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1

    Sevilla

    Last Six:
      Last Game: Leicester 1-0 Sevilla
      Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1

      We said: Osasuna 1-1 Sevilla

       On paper, Sevilla will be the favourites, but Osasuna are a team to be taken extremely seriously at this level of football, and we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. Opening-night matches are often cagey affairs, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw at Estadio El Sadar. Read more.

      Data Analysis

      Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.06%.

      The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.01%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

      Result
      OsasunaDrawSevilla
      44.74% (0.249 0.25) 28.2% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 27.06% (-0.273 -0.27)
      Both teams to score 44.41% (-0.221 -0.22)
      Goals
      Over 2.5Under 2.5
      38.87% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)61.12% (0.193 0.19)
      Over 3.5Under 3.5
      18.91% (-0.145 -0.15)81.09% (0.142 0.14)
      Osasuna Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      72.73% (0.039000000000001 0.04)27.27% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      37.3% (0.049999999999997 0.05)62.7% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
      Sevilla Goals
      Over 0.5Under 0.5
      61.06% (-0.341 -0.34)38.93% (0.337 0.34)
      Over 1.5Under 1.5
      24.34% (-0.321 -0.32)75.66% (0.318 0.32)
      Score Analysis
          Osasuna 44.73%
          Sevilla 27.05%
          Draw 28.2%
      OsasunaDrawSevilla
      1-0 @ 13.79% (0.11 0.11)
      2-0 @ 8.96% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
      2-1 @ 8.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
      3-0 @ 3.88% (0.041 0.04)
      3-1 @ 3.66% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
      3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.014 -0.01)
      4-0 @ 1.26% (0.014 0.01)
      4-1 @ 1.19% (0.0029999999999999 0)
      Other @ 1.8%
      Total : 44.73%
      		1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
      0-0 @ 10.61% (0.08 0.08)
      2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.036 -0.04)
      Other @ 0.59%
      Total : 28.2%
      		0-1 @ 10.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
      1-2 @ 6.14% (-0.062 -0.06)
      0-2 @ 4.72% (-0.053 -0.05)
      1-3 @ 1.93% (-0.037 -0.04)
      0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.031 -0.03)
      2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
      Other @ 1.51%
      Total : 27.05%

      How you voted: Osasuna vs Sevilla

      Osasuna
      12.9%
      Draw
      16.1%
      Sevilla
      71.0%
      255
      Head to Head
      Feb 5, 2022 8pm
      Osasuna
      0-0
      Sevilla

      Sanchez (56')

      Gudelj (33')
      Oct 30, 2021 3.15pm
      Sevilla
      2-0
      Osasuna
      Carlos (40'), Ocampos (60')
      Jordan (61'), Bono (89')

      Areso (54'), Budimir (70')
      Feb 22, 2021 8pm
      Osasuna
      0-2
      Sevilla

      Vidal (76'), Torro (88')
      Carlos (19'), De Jong (49')
      El Haddadi (67'), Jordan (83')
      Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
      Sevilla
      1-0
      Osasuna
      Ocampos (59' pen.)
      Rakitic (77'), Fernando (87')

      Garcia (38'), Sanjurjo (80'), Garcia (90+1')
      > Preview
      Mar 1, 2020 11am
      Sevilla
      3-2
      Osasuna
      En-Nesyri (13', 90'), Ocampos (45')
      Fernando (15'), Torres (84')
      Hernandez (64'), Torres (74' pen.)
      Gallego (76'), Brasanac (85')
      Herrera (54')
      rhs 2.0
      Today's games header
      > View full version> Yesterday's results
      Tables header RHS
      TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
      1Barcelona13110240122833
      2Real Madrid1283125111427
      3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
      4Villarreal127322319424
      5Osasuna136341720-321
      6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
      7Real BetisBetis135531412220
      8Real Sociedad135351110118
      9Mallorca135351010018
      10GironaGirona135351617-118
      11Celta Vigo135262022-217
      12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
      13Sevilla134361218-615
      14Leganes133551316-314
      15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
      16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
      17Getafe13175811-310
      18Espanyol123181122-1110
      19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
      20Valencia11146817-97
      > La Liga Full Table


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