UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
5 - 0
Austria Vienna

Baena (18'), Danjuma (43'), Luis Morales (76', 80', 88')
Capoue (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Kreiker (42')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Villarreal and Austria Vienna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Cadiz 0-0 Villarreal
Saturday, October 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Austria Vienna

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lech Poznan 4-1 Austria Vienna
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Villarreal 4-1 Austria Vienna

Given their rampant form in the Conference League so far, up against a side who have struggled lately, we expect Villarreal to take their opportunity to get back on the goals trail. Even with rotations, a strong, deep squad should be enough to sweep their Austrian opposition aside. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 18.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.78%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Austria Vienna win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Austria Vienna
57.3% ( -0.11)	24.62% ( 0.01)	18.09% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 43.99% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.58% (

0.1)

56.42% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.57% (

0.08)

77.43% (

-0.08)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.39% (

-0.01)

19.61% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.44% (

-0.01)

51.56% (

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.72% (

0.18)

45.28% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.84% (

0.14)

81.16% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 57.29%

Austria Vienna 18.09%

Draw 24.61%

Villarreal	Draw	Austria Vienna
1-0 @ 14.46% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.78% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.56% Total : 57.29%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.58% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.55% Total : 18.09%