UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Oct 13, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Austria Vienna
0 - 1
Villarreal

Ranftl (26'), Polster (67')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jackson (87')
Lo Celso (67'), Jackson (79'), Morlanes (86'), Baena (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Austria Vienna and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria Vienna

Last Game: Villarreal 5-0 Austria Vienna
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

Villarreal

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Villarreal
Sunday, October 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Austria Vienna 1-3 Villarreal

After a convincing win over their Austrian opposition last week, it is hard to look past Villarreal for this one, even after their uninspiring defeat to Real Sociedad on the weekend. With home advantage for Austria Vienna, however, and needing to protect their goal difference, we are expecting to see a slightly more competitive affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.66%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Villarreal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Villarreal.

Result
Austria Vienna	Draw	Villarreal
28.65% ( 0.2)	27.69% ( 0.04)	43.66% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 46.73% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.33% (

-0.05)

58.66% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.79% (

-0.04)

79.21% (

0.04)

Austria Vienna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73% (

0.13)

36.27% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.94% (

0.13)

73.06% (

-0.13)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.32% (

-0.14)

26.68% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.07% (

-0.19)

61.93% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Austria Vienna 28.65%

Villarreal 43.66%

Draw 27.68%

Austria Vienna	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.65%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.98% Total : 43.66%