Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.11%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 32.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
32.98% ( -0.78) | 27.91% ( -0.24) | 39.11% ( 1.02) |
Both teams to score 47.74% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.83% ( 0.76) | 58.17% ( -0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.17% ( 0.59) | 78.82% ( -0.6) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.19% ( -0.14) | 32.81% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.63% ( -0.15) | 69.37% ( 0.15) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.05% ( 0.97) | 28.94% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.17% ( 1.19) | 64.83% ( -1.2) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.6% Total : 32.98% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |