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La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Reale Arena
Atletico Madrid logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 1
Atletico

Sadiq (55')
Zubimendi (28'), Cho (35'), Zubeldia (57'), Gorosabel (72'), Merino (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Morata (5')
Niguez (12'), De Paul (24'), Llorente (35'), Simeone (45+6'), Morata (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Sociedad and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Real Sociedad 1-2 Atletico Madrid

Real Sociedad have found it difficult against Atletico in their recent meetings, and we are struggling to back the hosts with any real confidence here. Atletico were strong in their last game against Valencia and should have enough to pick up another three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.34%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
34.49% (0.503 0.5) 29.51% (0.173 0.17) 36% (-0.676 -0.68)
Both teams to score 43.45% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (-0.53899999999999 -0.54)63.54% (0.538 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.15% (-0.389 -0.39)82.85% (0.38799999999999 0.39)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.41% (0.058000000000007 0.06)34.59% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.68% (0.061 0.06)71.32% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (-0.72099999999999 -0.72)33.57% (0.72 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (-0.795 -0.8)70.22% (0.79499999999999 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.48%
    Atletico Madrid 36%
    Draw 29.5%
Real SociedadDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 12.32% (0.26 0.26)
2-1 @ 7.14% (0.025 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.057 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 34.48%
1-1 @ 13.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.61% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.5%
0-1 @ 12.67%
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.92% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.52% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico

Real Sociedad
18.5%
Draw
19.3%
Atletico Madrid
62.2%
135
Head to Head
May 22, 2022 9pm
Real Sociedad
1-2
Atletico
Guridi (90+3')
Le Normand (13'), Rafinha (36'), Merino (53'), Portu (76')
De Paul (50'), Correa (68')
Griezmann (45+2'), Savic (90+2')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Real Sociedad
2-0
Atletico
Januzaj (33'), Sorloth (47')
Munoz (28'), Silva (59')

Hermoso (31'), Felipe (39'), Cunha (90+2')
Oct 24, 2021 8pm
Atletico
2-2
Real Sociedad
Suarez (61', 77' pen.)
Felipe (31')
Sorloth (7'), Isak (48')
Zaldua (41'), Elustondo (68'), Merino (76')
May 12, 2021 9pm
Dec 22, 2020 6.45pm
Real Sociedad
0-2
Atletico

Le Normand (29'), Elustondo (80'), Isak (86')
Hermoso (49'), Llorente (74')
Savic (16'), Hermoso (29'), Niguez (66')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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