Valencia0 - 1Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Girona | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Sunday, August 21 at 6.30pm in La Liga
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 3 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 13 | Girona | 3 | 0 | 3 |
We said: Valencia 1-2 Atletico Madrid
If their opening double-header is anything to go by, these two clubs could be unpredictable as the season progresses. Valencia will fancy their chances of causing the upset in this fixture, but we cannot go against Atletico at this stage with Simeone's men possibly coming through by the odd goal in three. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 23.48%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.48% ( -0.45) | 26.62% ( -0.3) | 49.9% ( 0.75) |
| Both teams to score 45.69% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.01% ( 0.72) | 57.99% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.32% ( 0.56) | 78.68% ( -0.57) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% ( -0.02) | 40.39% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.99% ( -0.02) | 77.01% ( 0.01) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.66% ( 0.66) | 23.34% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.69% ( 0.95) | 57.31% ( -0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.31% Total : 23.48% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.65% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 13.71% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( 0.11)1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.09)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.59% Total : 49.89% |
