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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 21, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Valencia logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Valencia

Berenguer (42')
Vivian (12'), Muniain (68'), Simon (79'), Berchiche (86'), Alvarez (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Musah (23'), Diakhaby (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-2 Valencia

While Athletic will fancy their chances of getting back on track at the weekend, we cannot dismiss Valencia who feel rejuvenated under Gattuso. With that in mind, the visitors could edge this contest by the odd goal in three, keeping the momentum at the Mestalla going for another week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.69%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
58.18% (0.096000000000004 0.1) 25.13% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05) 16.69% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.34% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.06% (0.097000000000001 0.1)59.94% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81% (0.074000000000002 0.07)80.19% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.076999999999998 0.08)20.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77% (0.121 0.12)53.23% (-0.119 -0.12)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)49.16% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)84.07% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 58.16%
    Valencia 16.69%
    Draw 25.13%
Athletic BilbaoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 16.01% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.64% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.72% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.86% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.15% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.18% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 7.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 16.69%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Valencia

Athletic Bilbao
35.0%
Draw
25.0%
Valencia
40.0%
20
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 3.15pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Valencia

Alvarez (8'), Williams (77'), de Marcos (90'), Simon (90+9')

Diakhaby (26'), Moriba (53'), Guillamon (72')
Guillamon (90+8')
Mar 2, 2022 8.30pm
Feb 10, 2022 8.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-1
Valencia
Garcia (37')
Garcia (63')
Duro (65')
Foulquier (43'), Diakhaby (80'), Duro (90')
Gomez (45+1')
Sep 25, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Maranhao (90+5')
Gomez (45+4'), Guillamon (47'), Jason (90+2'), Vallejo (90+8')
Gomez (82')
Martinez (69')
Garcia (49'), Berenguer (78')
Feb 7, 2021 3.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 France France11003
2 Austria Austria21013
3 Netherlands Netherlands11003
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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