We expect a closely-fought encounter on Sunday, as Girona come into the season with momentum following their promotion, but we still tip the balance just in the hosts' favour.
Los Che will be desperate to improve after last season, and with Gattuso hoping to bring about an immediate bounce, they should have what it takes to come away with all three points on home turf.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Valencia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Valencia.
-0.02) 
0.05) 
