Segunda Division | 2nd Leg

Jun 5, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa

Eibar
0 - 2
Girona

(Girona win 2-1 on aggregate)

Alvarez (27'), Corpas (48')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garcia (1'), Stuani (91')
Juanpe (28'), Martinez (90'), Carlos (102'), Stuani (119')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Girona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

Last Six:

Last Game: Eibar 0-2 Girona
Sunday, June 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Almeria	41	33	80
2	Eibar	40	19	80
3	Real Valladolid	41	25	78

Girona

Last Six:

Last Game: Eibar 0-2 Girona
Sunday, June 5 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Next Game: Girona vs. Tenerife
Saturday, June 11 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Tenerife	41	17	69
5	Girona	41	15	67
6	Las Palmas	41	9	67

We said: Eibar 1-1 Girona (Eibar to prevail 2-1 on aggregate)

Although playoff ties do not always go with the form book, we cannot ignore how Girona's performances have been far more inconsistent in the short term. With that in mind, we feel that Eibar will just about do enough to earn a place in the final, even if it means a draw being played out on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Girona had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Girona
44.74% ( 1.66)	27.47% ( -0.07)	27.79% ( -1.58)

Both teams to score 46.83% (

-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.71% (

-0.42)

58.28% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.09% (

-0.33)

78.91% (

0.34)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.05% (

0.66)

25.95% (

-0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.04% (

0.88)

60.95% (

-0.88)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.24% (

-1.48)

36.75% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46% (

-1.52)

73.54% (

1.52)

Score Analysis

Eibar 44.73%

Girona 27.79%

Draw 27.46%

Eibar	Draw	Girona
1-0 @ 12.86% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.11% Total : 44.73%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.32) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.83% Total : 27.79%