We said: Burgos 1-2 Girona
Burgos have had a brilliant campaign and have also been excellent at home, so this is a tough match for Girona. It would not be a surprise to see the points shared on Sunday night, but the visitors have a lot of quality in the forward areas, and we are backing them to secure a narrow victory to earn a playoff spot.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.47% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.