We said: Girona 1-1 Tenerife
Rather than look at league positions, we can only assess these teams by their playoff performances, leading us to believe that this should be a high-quality encounter. Both teams would probably accept a draw heading into the second leg, and a low-scoring stalemate feels like the most likely outcome.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 23.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.