Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 40.87%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 28.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.5%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.88%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match.