We said: Tenerife 1-1 Las Palmas
Las Palmas will enter this match in much the better form, but we have a feeling that the first leg will be incredibly tight. Both managers would likely accept a draw if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and a stalemate would leave the tie delicately poised ahead of the reverse fixture.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Tenerife had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Tenerife win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.