La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 28, 2020 at 3.15pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
0 - 1
Atletico

Racic (28'), Guillamon (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Lato (79' og.)
Niguez (43'), Correa (62'), Llorente (76'), Felix (81'), Koke (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 17.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.64%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Atletico Madrid in this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
17.14%	22.94%	59.91%

Both teams to score 46.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.46%

51.54%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.66%

73.34%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.43%

43.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.23%

79.76%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.15%

16.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.15%

46.85%

Score Analysis

Valencia 17.14%

Atletico Madrid 59.91%

Draw 22.94%

Valencia	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 1.25% 3-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.63% Total : 17.14%	1-1 @ 10.86% 0-0 @ 7.34% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.73% Total : 22.94%	0-1 @ 13.07% 0-2 @ 11.64% 1-2 @ 9.67% 0-3 @ 6.91% 1-3 @ 5.74% 0-4 @ 3.08% 1-4 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 2.39% 0-5 @ 1.1% 2-4 @ 1.06% 1-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.79% Total : 59.91%