Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2020 at 5.55pm UK

RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 1
Atletico

Miranchuk (25' pen.)
Cerqueira (29'), Krychowiak (51'), Rajkovic (54'), Zhemaletdinov (69'), M. (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gimenez (18')
Suarez (24'), Niguez (44'), Lodi (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Atletico Madrid, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 54.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.23%) and 1-2 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.31%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 1-0 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Atletico Madrid
18.13%	27.4%	54.47%

Both teams to score 37.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.88%

65.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.02%

83.98%

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.56%

50.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.04%

84.96%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.58%

24.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.15%

58.85%

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 18.13%

Atletico Madrid 54.46%

Draw 27.38%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 4.07% 2-0 @ 2.89% 3-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.82% Total : 18.13%	0-0 @ 12.31% 1-1 @ 11.88% 2-2 @ 2.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 27.38%	0-1 @ 17.36% 0-2 @ 12.23% 1-2 @ 8.38% 0-3 @ 5.75% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-4 @ 2.03% 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.04% Total : 54.46%