Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Bolshaya Sportivnaya Arena

Sheriff Tiraspol
0 - 2
Real Sociedad

Kyabou (17'), Atiemwen (31')
Kyabou (61')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (53'), Elustondo (62')
Sola (29')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sheriff Tiraspol and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheriff Tiraspol

Last Game: Sheriff Tiraspol 0-2 Man Utd
Thursday, September 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Real Sociedad

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Girona 3-5 Real Sociedad
Sunday, October 2 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-3 Real Sociedad

Despite a brave performance against Manchester United, the quality eventually told as the Moldovan side suffered a 2-0 defeat at the hands of the Red Devils. We can see a similar outcome here, as a rotated Real Sociedad squad should have just enough to avoid an upset. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 55.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sheriff Tiraspol had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sheriff Tiraspol win it was 1-0 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result
Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Real Sociedad
19.78% ( -2.03)	24.63% ( 1.23)	55.59% ( 0.81)

Both teams to score 46.57% (

-6.55)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.59% (

-7.23)

54.41% (

7.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.21% (

-6.37)

75.78% (

6.37)

Sheriff Tiraspol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.85% (

-6.23)

42.14% (

6.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.44% (

-5.87)

78.56% (

5.87)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

-2.4)

19.5% (

2.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.62% (

-4.08)

51.38% (

4.08)

Score Analysis

Sheriff Tiraspol 19.78%

Real Sociedad 55.58%

Draw 24.62%

Sheriff Tiraspol	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.81) 2-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.67) 2-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.53) Other @ 1.97% Total : 19.78%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.5) 0-0 @ 8.22% ( 2.08) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.92) Other @ 0.7% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 13.43% ( 2.59) 0-2 @ 10.98% ( 1.4) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.6) 0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.72) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.44) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.82% Total : 55.58%