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La Liga
Almeria
La Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos
Rayo Vallecano logo

Almeria
3 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Robertone (8'), Babic (17'), Bilal Toure (39')
Samu (66'), Embarba (70'), Ramazani (90+1')
Embarba (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Catena (81')
Salvi (45+1'), Valentin (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Almeria
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Elche
Monday, October 3 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Almeria 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

 While it is tempting to side with Rayo in this one, given the attractive brand of football that they play, Iraola's men have been known to show some inconsistencies along the way. Almeria are desperate for points after their torrid run of four games without a goal, so we expect them to be competitive, and ultimately grind out a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
AlmeriaDrawRayo Vallecano
45.79% (-0.073 -0.07) 26.63% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 27.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.1% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69% (-0.117 -0.12)55.31% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)76.52% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)24.1% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.12 -0.12)58.39% (0.121 0.12)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)35.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.92% (-0.035 -0.04)72.07% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Almeria 45.79%
    Rayo Vallecano 27.58%
    Draw 26.62%
AlmeriaDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.11% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.25% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 45.79%
1-1 @ 12.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.51% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 8.86% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.61% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Almeria vs Rayo Vallecano

Almeria
25.7%
Draw
20.0%
Rayo Vallecano
54.3%
35
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2021 8pm
Almeria
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Robertone (31'), Morlanes (33'), Fernandes (54'), Corpas (56'), Balliu (59')
Fernandes (70')
Bebe (89')
Catena (26'), Antonin (44'), Valentin (49'), Garcia (86')
Nov 8, 2020 3pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Almeria

Martin (55'), Velazquez (74'), Comesana (82')
Advincula (27')
Cuenca (90+5')
Akieme (50'), Villalba (60'), Sadiq (61')
Sadiq (79')
Jul 13, 2020 6.30pm
Almeria
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Carlos Lazo (9'), Nunez (20'), Munoz (30')
Romera (69'), Guerrero (78')
Villar (51', 57')
Advincula (8'), Suarez (24'), Villar (81')
Sep 21, 2019 7pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Almeria
Comesana (48')
Angel Pozo (67')
Munoz (74')
Maras (84')
Mar 10, 2018 5pm
Almeria
0-1
Rayo Vallecano

Motta (48'), Alcaraz (73'), Marreh (79'), Angel Pozo (90'), Morcillo (90')
Lopez (22')
de Tomas (25'), Trejo (58'), Lopez (70'), Garcia (78'), Embarba (83'), Comesana (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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