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La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 17, 2022 at 8pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Rayo Vallecano logo

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Rayo Vallecano

Williams (14'), Sancet (28'), Williams (33')
Garcia (45')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Trejo (5'), Falcao (80')
Valentin (21'), Ciss (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

Last Six:
Last Game: Elche 1-4 Athletic Bilbao
Sunday, September 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Rayo Vallecano

Last Six:
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Valencia
Saturday, September 10 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Rayo Vallecano

 Rayo deserve credit for their start to the season, and they have already put in strong away performances at Barcelona and Espanyol this term. Athletic are generally strong in front of their own fans, though, and we are expecting the Basque outfit to put another three points on the board here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 14.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.66%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
62.28% (-0.628 -0.63) 23.58% (0.269 0.27) 14.14% (0.355 0.35)
Both teams to score 39.18% (0.124 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49% (-0.315 -0.31)58.51% (0.313 0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (-0.247 -0.25)79.08% (0.244 0.24)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-0.348 -0.35)18.53% (0.345 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.585 -0.59)49.77% (0.583 0.58)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.1% (0.355 0.35)51.9% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.06% (0.23 0.23)85.94% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 62.27%
    Rayo Vallecano 14.14%
    Draw 23.57%
Athletic BilbaoDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 16.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 13.66% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 8.96% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.12% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.114 0.11)
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 3.49% (0.076 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 14.14%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano

Athletic Bilbao
83.3%
Draw
12.1%
Rayo Vallecano
4.5%
66
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Rayo Vallecano
0-1
Athletic Bilbao

Lopez (89')
Serrano (30')
Williams (17'), Zarraga (60'), Garcia (69'), Simon (82'), Lekue (86'), Williams (88')
Sep 21, 2021 9pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-2
Rayo Vallecano
Ciss (33' og.)
Nunez (16'), Muniain (56'), Martinez (90+5')
Garcia (5'), Falcao (90+6')
Catena (7'), Guardiola (42'), Maras (83')
Apr 14, 2019 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
3-2
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (2', 50'), Garcia (72')
Williams (90')
Moreno (45'), De Tomas (85')
Advincula (49'), Ba (68')
Advincula (52')
Oct 24, 2018 6pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Angel Pozo (23')
Imbula (59')
Muniain (66')
Garcia (53')
Apr 10, 2016 7.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Rayo Vallecano
Williams (61')
Garcia (16')

Martinez (2'), Baena (16'), Castro (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97
> La Liga Full Table


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