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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
0 - 4
Athletic Bilbao


Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, August 20 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

With both teams having struggled to score goals during the opening two matches, we cannot see this being the most entertaining of matches. Nevertheless, Athletic have enough quality to take control, potentially scoring a first-half strike and holding firm after the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
31.12% (1.279 1.28) 29% (-0.632 -0.63) 39.88% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 44.2% (2.061 2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.66% (2.316 2.32)62.33% (-2.317 -2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01% (1.664 1.66)81.98% (-1.664 -1.66)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (2.266 2.27)36.36% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (2.223 2.22)73.14% (-2.224 -2.22)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.79299999999999 0.79)30.54% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.92899999999999 0.93)66.77% (-0.929 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 31.11%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.87%
    Draw 28.99%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.258 0.26)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.1% (-1 -1)
2-2 @ 4% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 13.17% (-0.87 -0.87)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.154 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 39.87%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
9.4%
Draw
18.8%
Athletic Bilbao
71.9%
32
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona13110240122833
2Real Madrid1283125111427
3Atletico MadridAtletico137511971226
4Villarreal127322319424
5Osasuna136341720-321
6Athletic Bilbao135531913620
7Real BetisBetis135531412220
8Real Sociedad135351110118
9Mallorca135351010018
10GironaGirona135351617-118
11Celta Vigo135262022-217
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15AlavesAlaves134181422-813
16Las PalmasLas Palmas133371622-612
17Getafe13175811-310
18Espanyol123181122-1110
19Real ValladolidValladolid132381025-159
20Valencia11146817-97


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