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La Liga | Gameweek 3
Aug 29, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Cadiz
0 - 4
Athletic Bilbao


Espino (16'), Alejo (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Williams (24'), Guruzeta (56', 90+3'), Berenguer (78')
Lekue (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz
Saturday, August 20 at 4.30pm in La Liga

We said: Cadiz 0-1 Athletic Bilbao

With both teams having struggled to score goals during the opening two matches, we cannot see this being the most entertaining of matches. Nevertheless, Athletic have enough quality to take control, potentially scoring a first-half strike and holding firm after the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.88%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.12% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (7.81%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
31.12% (1.279 1.28) 29% (-0.632 -0.63) 39.88% (-0.646 -0.65)
Both teams to score 44.2% (2.061 2.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.66% (2.316 2.32)62.33% (-2.317 -2.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.01% (1.664 1.66)81.98% (-1.664 -1.66)
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.64% (2.266 2.27)36.36% (-2.266 -2.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.85% (2.223 2.22)73.14% (-2.224 -2.22)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.45% (0.79299999999999 0.79)30.54% (-0.794 -0.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.22% (0.92899999999999 0.93)66.77% (-0.929 -0.93)
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 31.11%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.87%
    Draw 28.99%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 11.23% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-1 @ 6.74% (0.386 0.39)
2-0 @ 5.68% (0.207 0.21)
3-1 @ 2.27% (0.258 0.26)
3-0 @ 1.92% (0.18 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.179 0.18)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 31.11%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 11.1% (-1 -1)
2-2 @ 4% (0.31 0.31)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.99%
0-1 @ 13.17% (-0.87 -0.87)
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 7.81% (-0.339 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.126 0.13)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.154 0.15)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.056 0.06)
0-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 39.87%

How you voted: Cadiz vs Athletic Bilbao

Cadiz
Draw
Athletic Bilbao
Cadiz
9.4%
Draw
18.8%
Athletic Bilbao
71.9%
32
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2022 7pm
Cadiz
2-3
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (56'), Sobrino (87')
Lozano (9'), Chust (21'), Cala (63')
Garcia (3'), Muniain (22'), Vesga (33')
Martinez (50'), Vesga (63'), Vivian (69'), Vencedor (90+6')
Vesga (71')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Feb 15, 2021 8pm
Cadiz
0-4
Athletic Bilbao

Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')
Oct 1, 2020 6pm
Athletic Bilbao
0-1
Cadiz

Villalibre (54'), Kodro (79'), Martinez (83')
Lopez (57' og.)
Akapo (18'), Fali (41'), Negredo (63')
Akapo (48'), Negredo (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid28186459273260
2Barcelona26183571254657
3Atletico MadridAtletico27168344182656
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano279992929036
10Sevilla2899103237-536
11GironaGirona2897123641-534
12Real Sociedad27104132328-534
13Getafe2789102322133
14Osasuna2671273237-533
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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