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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 10, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Valencia logo

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valencia

Isi (5'), Gonzalez (52' og.)
Balliu (21'), Isi (35'), Dimitrievski (62'), Comesana (63'), Trejo (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Diakhaby (90+3')
Musah (68'), Correia (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Valencia

Five of the last seven La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are backing another draw here. Valencia will be full of confidence due to their strong win last time out, but we believe that Rayo have enough quality to secure a point in front of their own supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
40.59% (-0.224 -0.22) 28.2% (0.087 0.09) 31.2% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 46.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39% (-0.275 -0.27)59.6% (0.272 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06% (-0.212 -0.21)79.93% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (-0.259 -0.26)28.79% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.323 -0.32)64.63% (0.321 0.32)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.17% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)34.82% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.44% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)71.56% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 40.59%
    Valencia 31.2%
    Draw 28.19%
Rayo VallecanoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 12.48% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.2% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.77% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.4% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.23% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 40.59%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.02% (0.097 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.19%
0-1 @ 10.57% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 31.2%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Valencia

Rayo Vallecano
18.3%
Draw
26.0%
Valencia
55.8%
104
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 8pm
Rayo Vallecano
1-1
Valencia
Guardiola (83')
Lopez (5'), Balliu (90+3'), Catena (90+9')
Soler (57')
Moriba (8'), Duro (42'), Maranhao (74'), Correia (90+9')
Nov 27, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')
Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')
Apr 6, 2019 5.30pm
Nov 24, 2018 3.15pm
Valencia
3-0
Rayo Vallecano
Mina (35', 61'), Gameiro (76')
Diakhaby (28'), Soler (74')

Advincula (22'), Comesana (41'), Galvez (51')
Advincula (87')
Jan 17, 2016 11am
Valencia
2-2
Rayo Vallecano
Negredo (55'), Alcacer (88')
Alcacer (87')
Sanchez (15'), Llorente (69')
Llorente (19'), Ruz Quini (78'), Bangoura (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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