La Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
We said: Valencia 2-1 Getafe
Valencia are in need of a positive result following back-to-back defeats, and we are tipping Los Che to secure all three points here. Getafe have a lot of quality in the final third and are capable of avoiding defeat, but we are expecting the home side to emerge victorious in front of their own supporters.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 49.05% . A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.83% .
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.47% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (8.5%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%) , while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (9.43%) . The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result Valencia Draw Getafe 49.05% ( -0.31) 28.12% ( -0.22) 22.83% ( 0.52)
Both teams to score 41.28% ( 1.01)
36.66% ( 1.01) 63.34% ( -1.02)
17.29% ( 0.72) 82.71% ( -0.73)
73.87% ( 0.32) 26.13% ( -0.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.8% ( 0.43) 61.2% ( -0.43)
55.88% ( 1.13) 44.12% ( -1.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 19.78% ( 0.91) 80.22% ( -0.91)
Valencia 49.05%
Getafe 22.83%
Draw 28.11%
Valencia Draw Getafe 1-0 @ 15.47% ( -0.44) 2-0 @ 10.38% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.87% Total : 49.05% 1-1 @ 12.66% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 11.52% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.11% 0-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.83%
How you voted: Valencia vs Getafe
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rhs 2.0
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