La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 38

May 20, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Teresa Rivero

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 4
Levante

Garcia (18'), Guardiola (61' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-3)

Melero (26', 45+1'), Marti (44'), Coke (76')
Saracchi (55'), Postigo (75'), Vezo (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Levante, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

Last Six:

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
11	Celta Vigo	38	0	46
12	Rayo Vallecano	38	-11	42
13	Elche	38	-12	42

Levante

Last Six:

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-4 Levante
Friday, May 20 at 8pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Granada	38	-17	38
19	Levante	38	-25	35
20	Alaves	38	-34	31

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Levante

Despite Vallecano's awful finish to the season over the last few months, and Levante's revival in form, we can see the hosts edging out their visitors by a narrow margin here. Levante have picked up just 10 points from the 54 available to them on their travels this season, whilst eight of Vallecano's 11 league wins have arrived in front of their own supporters, so we are predicting a home win following an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Levante had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Levante
44.53% ( -1.89)	24.65% ( 0.26)	30.82% ( 1.63)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.47% (

-0.33)

45.52% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

-0.31)

67.85% (

0.31)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

-0.95)

20.53% (

0.95)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.96% (

-1.52)

53.04% (

1.52)

Levante Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.94)

27.89% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

1.19)

63.5% (

-1.19)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 44.53%

Levante 30.82%

Draw 24.64%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Levante
2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.24) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.29) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 44.53%	1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.64%	1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.82%