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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 3, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
Elche

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Elche

Camello (40'), Lopez (90+5')
Trejo (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Boye (32')
Gonzalez (23'), Quina (47'), Badia (65'), Boye (69'), Lirola (81'), Ponce (83'), Morente (89'), Clerc (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-2 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, September 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 3-0 Elche
Saturday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Elche

Elche have endured a rough start to the 2022-23 campaign and will set out to claim their first win of the season on Monday. However, they have managed just three wins in 12 away games this year. However, given their fine record against Rayo Vallecano, we predict that Rodriguez's side will hold out for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawElche
66.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 21.39% (0.0019999999999989 0) 12.23% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 40.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.61%54.39% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23%75.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)15.65% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.52% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)52.48% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.68% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)86.31% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 66.37%
    Elche 12.23%
    Draw 21.39%
Rayo VallecanoDrawElche
1-0 @ 15.23%
2-0 @ 14.12%
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.63%
4-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 66.37%
1-1 @ 9.82% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 8.21%
2-2 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.39%
0-1 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 3.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 12.23%

How you voted: Rayo Vallecano vs Elche

Rayo Vallecano
Draw
Elche
Rayo Vallecano
75.4%
Draw
20.4%
Elche
4.2%
142
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
Elche
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Carrillo (76'), Ponce (84')
Guti (32'), Mojica (90+6')
Garcia (52')
Comesana (7'), Catena (68'), Sylla (72'), Balliu (75')
Oct 17, 2021 1pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Hernandez (26'), Nteka (65')
Lopez (81'), Garcia (90+1')
Boye (14')
Gumbau (28'), Casilla (90+4')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Elche
Bebe (36'), Catena (78')
Isi (75')

Nino (39'), Lucumi (71')
Mar 8, 2020 11am
Rayo Vallecano
2-3
Elche
Suarez (30' pen.), Montiel (88')
Advincula (45'), Milic (84'), Catena (90')
Isi (63')
Gil (58'), Milla (67'), Escriche (79')
Manolin (45'), Gil (73'), Fidel (90')
Oct 5, 2019 5pm
Elche
1-1
Rayo Vallecano
Nino (66')
Gonzalo (13'), Folch (69')
Martin (78')
Garcia (64'), Trejo (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona27193575274860
2Real Madrid28186459273260
3Atletico MadridAtletico28168446222456
4Athletic Bilbao281410446242252
5Villarreal27128749381144
6Real BetisBetis2812883835344
7Mallorca28117102834-640
8Celta Vigo28116114141039
9Rayo Vallecano2891093131037
10Getafe2899102523236
11Sevilla2899103237-536
12Real Sociedad28105132530-535
13GironaGirona2897123641-534
14Osasuna2771283339-633
15Espanyol2777132639-1328
16Valencia28610123146-1528
17AlavesAlaves2869133242-1027
18Leganes2869132643-1727
19Las PalmasLas Palmas2867153247-1525
20Real ValladolidValladolid2844201863-4516


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