Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
48.95% ( 0.05) | 27.15% ( 0.01) | 23.9% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.69% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.5% ( -0.05) | 59.49% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.15% ( -0.04) | 79.85% ( 0.04) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% ( -0) | 24.44% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.12% ( -0) | 58.88% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.15% ( -0.08) | 40.85% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.58% ( -0.07) | 77.42% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.91% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.94% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.26% Total : 23.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 33 |
2 | Real Madrid | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 24 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Villarreal | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
5 | Osasuna | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 21 |
6 | Athletic Bilbao | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 19 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Mallorca | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 18 |
9 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 16 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 16 |
11 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 15 |
12 | GironaGirona | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
13 | Sevilla | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 15 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
15 | Leganes | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
16 | Getafe | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 10 |
17 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
18 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 9 |
19 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 8 |
20 | Valencia | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 7 |
> La Liga Full Table |