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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
San Mamés Barria
Villarreal logo

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Villarreal

Williams (59')
Garcia (45'), Vesga (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Moreno (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 2-2 Be'er Sheva
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-2 Villarreal

There is not a huge difference in terms of the quality of these two sides, and we are expecting an open and entertaining contest on Sunday. Both managers would surely be content with a point here, and we are finding it difficult to separate them at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.95%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
48.95% (0.047000000000004 0.05) 27.15% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 23.9% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.69% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.5% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)59.49% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.15% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)79.85% (0.038999999999987 0.04)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)24.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.88%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.15% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)40.85% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.58% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)77.42% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 48.94%
    Villarreal 23.9%
    Draw 27.15%
Athletic BilbaoDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 4.65% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 48.94%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 9.98% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.68% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.26%
Total : 23.9%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal

Athletic Bilbao
42.6%
Draw
31.5%
Villarreal
25.9%
108
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 5.30pm
Villarreal
1-1
Athletic Bilbao
Pedraza (60')
Pedraza (50'), Mandi (81')
Garcia (43')
Petxarroman (85'), Garcia (90'), Sancet (90+1')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Villarreal
Garcia (14'), Muniain (77' pen.)
Coquelin (32')
Foyth (55'), Moreno (76'), Estupinan (80')
Feb 21, 2021 8pm
Dec 22, 2020 9pm
Mar 1, 2020 1pm
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Villarreal
Garcia (56' pen.)
Berchiche (21'), Capa (43'), Cordoba (63'), Vesga (85'), Garcia (90'), Nunez (90')

Cazorla (21'), Torres (54'), Iborra (55'), Zambo Anguissa (63'), Moreno (65'), Chukwueze (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona12110140112933
2Real Madrid1173121111024
3Atletico MadridAtletico126511871123
4Villarreal116322019121
5Osasuna126331716121
6Athletic Bilbao125431812619
7Real BetisBetis125431210219
8Mallorca12534109118
9Rayo Vallecano114431210216
10Celta Vigo125161820-216
11Real Sociedad124351010015
12GironaGirona124351517-215
13Sevilla124351217-515
14AlavesAlaves124171419-513
15Leganes122551216-411
16Getafe12174810-210
17Espanyol123181122-1110
18Las PalmasLas Palmas122371321-89
19Real ValladolidValladolid12228924-158
20Valencia11146817-97


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